I like Phil, I just don't like his chances. He's shown little or nothing so far this year. Any good rounds that he's had have come after he's out of contention.
Anthony Kim doesn't have a chance if he plans on hitting it like he did last week enroute to his win. Augusta is a lot tighter and penal than Houston was.
I'd like to think Ernie has a good shot. Last week he didn't do much, but 2 out of the last three wins bodes well for him.
But, if I had to wager, I'd have to go with Tiger. Let's face it, he's beat a lot of these guys in the past few years on a pretty beat up body. I'm not sure I buy into the emotional baggage weighing him down. It's been my experience on the golf course that all those things disappear for those few hours spent on the course. If Tiger has even 2/3 of his normal game, nobody beats him.